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Derived intelligence model registry

Every published estimate or sensitivity scenario names its material inputs, version, assumptions, validation state and interpretations it cannot support. Registration does not make a model an official measurement.

schema 1.0
  1. community-gdp · 2.1.0

    Saskatchewan community GDP allocation

    Saskatchewan census subdivisions and economic regions · GDP model owner

    registered

    Formula

    Allocate the observable share of each official provincial industry benchmark by a declared activity-weight family; blend production- and income-side community measures where both exist; retain all unobservable value as an explicit provincial residual.

    Assumptions

    • Income-side weight is fixed at the calculation-version value.
    • Extraction allocates only its declared labour-income share until facility weights are certified.
    • Agriculture allocates only its employer-farm share until land and farm-production weights are certified.

    Material inputs

    • 36-10-0711-01 — Official provincial GDP benchmark by industry
    • 33-10-0663-01 — Community employer-business activity weights
    • 33-10-0661-01 — Provincial employer-business activity: weight coverage and the employer-farm count
    • 33-10-0662-01 — Provincial non-employer farm count for the observable agriculture share
    • 98-10-0002-01 — Population and occupied-dwelling weights
    • 98-10-0057-01 — Resident household-income weights
    • 92-151-X2021001 — Census subdivision type, census division and economic region

    Boundaries

    • Not an official Statistics Canada community or regional GDP measurement.
    • Not a current business valuation, municipal tax base or forecast.
    • Suppressed estimates must not be reconstructed from internal allocations.

    Sensitivity limits

    • Published low/high ranges bound the income-side and production-side measures.
    • Provincial residuals are never redistributed merely to complete community coverage.

    Back-test: pending. No official community GDP series exists for direct back-testing; future municipal accounts and audited local controls may support partial validation.

  2. labour-demand-gdp-sensitivity · labour-demand-gdp-v2

    Labour-demand GDP composition sensitivity

    Saskatchewan province and NAICS sectors · GDP model owner

    registered

    Formula

    Suppress sector-dollar tilts below the versioned opening-count reliability floor; for included sectors, normalize openings by midpoint employment, apply the versioned elasticity within the factor cap, and reconcile only the included-sector subtotal back to its unchanged official baseline.

    Assumptions

    • Elasticity 0.05 is assumed and unvalidated. It is not estimated from Saskatchewan evidence and has no cited empirical derivation.
    • The ±10% sector factor cap is a governance bound chosen to contain the scenario, not an empirically validated interval.
    • The 50-opening reliability floor is a conservative publication rule, not proof that sectors above it are statistically representative.
    • Unmatched or missing opening evidence applies a neutral factor rather than zero demand.

    Material inputs

    • 36-10-0711-01 — Official fixed provincial GDP total and sector baseline
    • 33-10-0661-01 — Sector employment denominator
    • ea639e28-c0fc-48bf-b5dd-b8899bd43072 — Measured advertised-opening distribution
    • saskjobs-homepage-detail-index — Observed Saskatchewan opening control totals

    Boundaries

    • Advertised openings are not counted as GDP dollars.
    • The scenario is not a GDP forecast or causal impact estimate.
    • Sector tilts do not establish hiring, investment or productivity.
    • A suppressed tilt does not mean neutral sector performance; it means the advertised-opening evidence is insufficient.

    Sensitivity limits

    • Elasticity must remain between 0 and 1.
    • Factor cap must remain between 0 and 0.5.
    • Sectors below 50 estimated openings retain their official baseline and publish no dollar change.
    • The official provincial GDP total is invariant.

    Back-test: pending. The arithmetic invariants are tested, but elasticity 0.05, the ±10% cap and the 50-opening floor have not been empirically calibrated or validated. The output is a bounded sensitivity illustration, not a predictive model.

  3. discretionary-income · sk-discretionary-income-v1

    Saskatchewan household discretionary-income scenario

    Saskatchewan communities mapped to published rent and MBM regions · Affordability model owner

    registered

    Formula

    Estimate annual statutory deductions with tax model ca-sk-2025-v2, convert scenario earnings to monthly net income, and subtract separately evidenced rent plus household-sized MBM transportation and non-shelter components.

    Assumptions

    • Hours, earners, bedrooms and vehicle requirement are explicit caller-supplied scenario inputs.
    • Survey rent is kept separate from MBM shelter to prevent double counting.
    • Unknown components remain unavailable rather than zero.

    Material inputs

    • 14-10-0417-01 — Published occupational wage evidence
    • 34-10-0133-01 — Published surveyed rent evidence
    • 11-10-0066-01 — Market Basket Measure components
    • 11-10-0104-01 — Household-size Market Basket Measure totals

    Boundaries

    • Not tax, financial or relocation advice.
    • Not a promise that a wage, rental unit or job is available.
    • A positive remainder is not proof that a household can afford a community.

    Sensitivity limits

    • The result changes only through explicit household inputs or versioned source/model updates.
    • No current listing price, seat, commute or utility value is inferred where evidence is absent.

    Back-test: partial. Tax, CPP and EI parameters are checked against official rates; household outcome back-testing requires consented longitudinal outcomes.

  4. workforce-demand · workforce-demand-v2

    Aggregate workforce-demand indicators

    Saskatchewan province, sectors and occupational credentials · Labour intelligence model owner

    registered

    Formula

    Group source-attributed hiring records by sector and join their mapped occupations to normalized credential requirements.

    Assumptions

    • Credential names join only after provider normalization.
    • Hiring records show advertised demand, not completed hires or available labour supply.

    Material inputs

    • ea639e28-c0fc-48bf-b5dd-b8899bd43072 — Provider-qualified posting and demand evidence

    Boundaries

    • Not proof of a labour shortage, vacancy rate or available worker count.
    • Not proof of available workers or credential-holder supply.
    • Preview postings must not be described as current employer demand.

    Sensitivity limits

    • Counts are descriptive within the disclosed provider corpus.
    • Candidate-profile data is not an input.

    Back-test: pending. Comparison against later vacancy and employment outcomes is not yet implemented.

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